A warm front and cold front combination is moving eastward from a storm system exiting the Central Plains and heading into the Great Lakes.
The system’s cold front will approach late Thursday into early Friday, bringing a risk of thunderstorms.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Eastern Pennsylvania, Southern New England, New Jersey, the Hudson Valley, and Long Island under a marginal risk for severe weather, meaning isolated severe storms are possible, along with an elevated tornado risk.
Today, ahead of the warm front, sunshine will give way to increasing clouds.
Southeast winds will keep temperatures in check, with highs in the upper 40s north of NYC and Northern New Jersey, while South Jersey and areas further south will see highs in the low to mid-50s.
The warm front may bring showers mainly to the north late today and into tonight, with scattered showers possible north of NYC, the Hudson Valley, and New England. Overnight temperatures will likely hold in the 40s and low 50s.
By Thursday morning, any overnight showers should clear out, and winds will shift southwest, bringing warmer temperatures northward.
The warm sector will see some sunshine, especially to the south, while areas north and east of NYC may remain cloudier.
Highs will range from the upper 60s to mid-70s from north to south, with cooler temperatures along south- and east-facing shorelines.
The storm system will move into Southeastern Canada, with the cold front pushing southward from the northwest Thursday night into Friday morning.
During this period, thunderstorms are possible, with a chance for isolated severe storms as the front moves through Friday morning.
Conditions should improve by Friday afternoon, with clouds giving way to sunshine and highs in the low to mid-60s.
Looking ahead, weather models indicate additional systems over the weekend.
Another warm front and cold front will likely bring clouds and rain on Saturday, followed by a cold front late Sunday into Monday, which could lead to more showers and thunderstorms.
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