A new AP-NORC poll, conducted from March 20-24, shows President Donald Trump’s net approval rating has hit a new low of -14 points in his second term.
The survey found that 56% of respondents disapprove of his job performance, while 42% approve. The poll sampled 1,229 adults and has a margin of error of ±4 percentage points.
Why It Matters?
Trump’s approval rating is a key measure of his political influence as he navigates his second term and prepares for upcoming policy battles.
Shifts in public opinion could impact Republican support, affect his legislative agenda, and shape the political landscape ahead of the midterm elections.
Key Findings
- Economic Performance: 58% disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, while 40% approve.
- Trade Policies: 60% disapprove of his trade negotiations, with only 38% in favor.
- Party Divide: Republicans largely support Trump’s economic and trade policies, while Democrats strongly disapprove.
These numbers align with other recent polls. A YouGov/Yahoo survey from the same period found that only 39% approve of Trump’s economic policies, while 51% disapprove.
The poll also showed that 52% of Americans believe the country is already in a recession or heading toward one.
Economic Concerns Grow
- Goldman Sachs increased its 2025 recession probability to 35%, up from 20%, the highest since the regional banking crisis two years ago.
- JP Morgan estimates a 40% chance of a recession this year, citing declining business sentiment and consumer confidence.
- Economists warn that Trump’s tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China could raise inflation by 1% and hurt corporate profits.
Despite these concerns, Trump blames inflation on his predecessor, Joe Biden, saying in March that the U.S. economy “went to hell” under Biden.
However, a Morning Consult poll suggests this message is losing traction—46% of respondents blame Trump for current economic conditions, while 41% blame Biden.
Current Approval Trends
Newsweek’s average of the 10 most recent polls places Trump’s approval rating at 47%, with 49% disapproving, resulting in a net score of -2 points.
His numbers have remained relatively stable in recent weeks.
Expert Opinions
Thomas Gift, a political scientist at University College London, told Newsweek:
“It’s too soon to say Trump’s honeymoon is over, but his post-inauguration momentum is fading.
Many Trump voters are still giving him time, but others are realizing he has no quick fix for the economy. His major policies—tariffs and mass deportations—are likely to drive inflation higher.”
What’s Next?
Trump’s approval rating could fluctuate based on key developments, including negotiations over the Russia-Ukraine war, ongoing trade disputes, and economic uncertainty.
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